Talk:Snow day - Revision history

Hoyifung04: /* Drop spadings */

2014-02-07T04:53:39Z

Drop spadings

← Older revision		Revision as of 04:53, 7 February 2014
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	19/15/66 Seems to be the distribution. Largest statistic ever so considering this spaded. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 15:10, 6 February 2014 (PST)		19/15/66 Seems to be the distribution. Largest statistic ever so considering this spaded. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 15:10, 6 February 2014 (PST)


			And more data:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|1377\|760}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|760\|147}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|760\|113}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|760\|500}}

			--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:53, 6 February 2014 (PST)

Patojonas: drop spading data

2014-02-06T23:10:30Z

drop spading data

← Older revision		Revision as of 23:10, 6 February 2014
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	18/15/67 ? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:59, 3 January 2014 (PST)		18/15/67 ? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:59, 3 January 2014 (PST)

			----
			Data for Feb 6 2014:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|6238\|3281}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|3281\|630}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|3281\|490}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|3281\|2161}}

			19/15/66 Seems to be the distribution. Largest statistic ever so considering this spaded. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 15:10, 6 February 2014 (PST)

Patojonas: Jan 1 and 2 2014 data

2014-01-03T21:59:13Z

Jan 1 and 2 2014 data

← Older revision		Revision as of 21:59, 3 January 2014
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	--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:40, 2 January 2014 (PST)		--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:40, 2 January 2014 (PST)


			Data for both Jan 1 and 2 2014:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|3880\|2059}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|2059\|382}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|2059\|310}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|2059\|1367}}

			18/15/67 ? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:59, 3 January 2014 (PST)

Hoyifung04: Jan 1/2 data

2014-01-03T04:40:50Z

Jan 1/2 data

← Older revision		Revision as of 04:40, 3 January 2014
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	I guess it is safe to assume 20/13/67 for only 3? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:22, 17 December 2013 (PST)		I guess it is safe to assume 20/13/67 for only 3? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:22, 17 December 2013 (PST)

			----

			Data for Jan 1 2014:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|1417\|730}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|730\|127}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|730\|118}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|730\|485}}

			--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:40, 2 January 2014 (PST)

			----

			Data for Jan 2 2014:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|1133\|626}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|626\|111}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|626\|92}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|626\|423}}

			--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:40, 2 January 2014 (PST)

Patojonas: Dec 7 data and analysis

2013-12-17T21:22:58Z

Dec 7 data and analysis

← Older revision		Revision as of 21:22, 17 December 2013
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	Here's what I got, after 712 combats, excluding modifier drop messages:		Here's what I got, after 712 combats, excluding modifier drop messages:

	* icicle - 73 -> {{statrate\|372\|73\|+}}		* icicle - 73 -> {{statrate\|372\|73}}
	* bucket - 53 -> {{statrate\|372\|53\|+}}		* bucket - 53 -> {{statrate\|372\|53}}
	* snowball - 118 -> {{statrate\|372\|118\|+}}		* snowball - 118 -> {{statrate\|372\|118}}
	* thundersnow - 128 -> {{statrate\|372\|128\|+}}		* thundersnow - 128 -> {{statrate\|372\|128}}

	Which results in a statistical drop chance of {{statrate\|712\|372\|+}}%, which I think we can assume as 50%.<br>Regarding the distribution when it drops, by my data it seems to be 20%, 15%, 30%, 35%, however since this is the first time the thundersnow drops I guess these numbers might fluctuate a bit, comparing these with the next snow day might be bet before jumping to conclusions. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas\|talk]]) 17:26, 21 December 2012 (PST)		Which results in a statistical drop chance of {{statrate\|712\|372\|+}}%, which I think we can assume as 50%.<br>Regarding the distribution when it drops, by my data it seems to be 20%, 15%, 30%, 35%, however since this is the first time the thundersnow drops I guess these numbers might fluctuate a bit, comparing these with the next snow day might be bet before jumping to conclusions. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas\|talk]]) 17:26, 21 December 2012 (PST)
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	--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 10:18, 8 December 2013 (PST)		--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 10:18, 8 December 2013 (PST)

			My data for this day:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|546\|269}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|269\|60}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|269\|35}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|269\|174}}


			*Day total:
			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|1945\|993}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|993\|203}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|993\|128}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|993\|662}}

			I guess it is safe to assume 20/13/67 for only 3? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:22, 17 December 2013 (PST)

Hoyifung04: /* Drop spadings */ Dec 7 data

2013-12-08T18:18:35Z

Drop spadings: Dec 7 data

← Older revision		Revision as of 18:18, 8 December 2013
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	Data for Nov. 23. I messed up a bit and forgot to clear some spading history with the Wandering Villains. Thus, I have excluded all data with them (whether or not they dropped anything).		Data for Nov. 23 2013. I messed up a bit and forgot to clear some spading history with the Wandering Villains. Thus, I have excluded all data with them (whether or not they dropped anything).

	Total drop rate: {{statrate\|865\|456}}		Total drop rate: {{statrate\|865\|456}}
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	I'll add today's data later. --[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 13:47, 7 December 2013 (PST)		I'll add today's data later. --[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 13:47, 7 December 2013 (PST)

			----

			Data for Dec 7 2013.

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|1399\|724}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|724\|143}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|724\|93}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|724\|488}}

			--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 10:18, 8 December 2013 (PST)

Hoyifung04: Nov 23 Snow Day

2013-12-07T21:48:02Z

Nov 23 Snow Day

← Older revision		Revision as of 21:48, 7 December 2013
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	Bucket and icicle seem to keep their 15%/20% proportion compared to the previous snow day, snowball taking the remaining 65%, coherent with previous numbers.<br>I'm not very confident on the total drop numbers since the spading script gave me a number for total combats of 949 (resulting in a {{statrate\|949\|462\|+}} chance), but the manual sum of all foes yielded 1025 (I might have screwed up here), so I'll just leave both numbers for future comparison.[[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 05:00, 14 November 2013 (PST)		Bucket and icicle seem to keep their 15%/20% proportion compared to the previous snow day, snowball taking the remaining 65%, coherent with previous numbers.<br>I'm not very confident on the total drop numbers since the spading script gave me a number for total combats of 949 (resulting in a {{statrate\|949\|462\|+}} chance), but the manual sum of all foes yielded 1025 (I might have screwed up here), so I'll just leave both numbers for future comparison.[[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 05:00, 14 November 2013 (PST)


			Data for Nov. 23. I messed up a bit and forgot to clear some spading history with the Wandering Villains. Thus, I have excluded all data with them (whether or not they dropped anything).

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|865\|456}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|456\|107}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|456\|49}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|456\|300}}

			I'll add today's data later. --[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 13:47, 7 December 2013 (PST)

Patojonas: drop data

2013-11-14T13:00:27Z

drop data

← Older revision		Revision as of 13:00, 14 November 2013
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	Your statistic is almost 3 times larger than mine, and while doing mine the numbers for those two changed places a couple times. I'm actually surprised the icicles and buckets are so similar. Anyway, only conclusion I'm willing to take before the next snow day is that the chance of snow items is 50%. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas\|talk]]) 04:14, 22 December 2012 (PST)		Your statistic is almost 3 times larger than mine, and while doing mine the numbers for those two changed places a couple times. I'm actually surprised the icicles and buckets are so similar. Anyway, only conclusion I'm willing to take before the next snow day is that the chance of snow items is 50%. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas\|talk]]) 04:14, 22 December 2012 (PST)

			----
			November 2013, no [[thundersnow]] this time around. Total drop chance observed is {{statrate\|1025\|462}}.

			* icicle - 92-> {{statrate\|462\|92}}
			* bucket - 75 -> {{statrate\|462\|75}}
			* snowball - 295-> {{statrate\|462\|295}}

			Bucket and icicle seem to keep their 15%/20% proportion compared to the previous snow day, snowball taking the remaining 65%, coherent with previous numbers.<br>I'm not very confident on the total drop numbers since the spading script gave me a number for total combats of 949 (resulting in a {{statrate\|949\|462\|+}} chance), but the manual sum of all foes yielded 1025 (I might have screwed up here), so I'll just leave both numbers for future comparison.[[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 05:00, 14 November 2013 (PST)

Patojonas at 12:14, 22 December 2012

2012-12-22T12:14:28Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:14, 22 December 2012
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	Chance of drop being [[thundersnow]]: {{statrate\|1015\|316}}<br>		Chance of drop being [[thundersnow]]: {{statrate\|1015\|316}}<br>
	Looks like our numbers for snowball and thundersnow are reversed! (Or, perhaps the drop rate is 33%.) --[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:21, 21 December 2012 (PST)		Looks like our numbers for snowball and thundersnow are reversed! (Or, perhaps the drop rate is 33%.) --[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:21, 21 December 2012 (PST)

			Your statistic is almost 3 times larger than mine, and while doing mine the numbers for those two changed places a couple times. I'm actually surprised the icicles and buckets are so similar. Anyway, only conclusion I'm willing to take before the next snow day is that the chance of snow items is 50%. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas\|talk]]) 04:14, 22 December 2012 (PST)

Hoyifung04: /* Drop spadings */ more data

2012-12-22T04:21:14Z

Drop spadings: more data

← Older revision		Revision as of 04:21, 22 December 2012
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	Which results in a statistical drop chance of {{statrate\|712\|372\|+}}%, which I think we can assume as 50%.<br>Regarding the distribution when it drops, by my data it seems to be 20%, 15%, 30%, 35%, however since this is the first time the thundersnow drops I guess these numbers might fluctuate a bit, comparing these with the next snow day might be bet before jumping to conclusions. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas\|talk]]) 17:26, 21 December 2012 (PST)		Which results in a statistical drop chance of {{statrate\|712\|372\|+}}%, which I think we can assume as 50%.<br>Regarding the distribution when it drops, by my data it seems to be 20%, 15%, 30%, 35%, however since this is the first time the thundersnow drops I guess these numbers might fluctuate a bit, comparing these with the next snow day might be bet before jumping to conclusions. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas\|talk]]) 17:26, 21 December 2012 (PST)


			Chance of any drop after combat: {{statrate\|1962\|1015}}<br>
			Chance of drop being [[icicle]]: {{statrate\|1015\|194}}<br>
			Chance of drop being [[sleet bucket]]: {{statrate\|1015\|148}}<br>
			Chance of drop being [[snowball]]: {{statrate\|1015\|357}}<br>
			Chance of drop being [[thundersnow]]: {{statrate\|1015\|316}}<br>
			Looks like our numbers for snowball and thundersnow are reversed! (Or, perhaps the drop rate is 33%.) --[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:21, 21 December 2012 (PST)

← Older revision		Revision as of 04:53, 7 February 2014
Line 120:		Line 120:

	19/15/66 Seems to be the distribution. Largest statistic ever so considering this spaded. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 15:10, 6 February 2014 (PST)		19/15/66 Seems to be the distribution. Largest statistic ever so considering this spaded. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 15:10, 6 February 2014 (PST)


			And more data:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|1377\|760}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|760\|147}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|760\|113}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|760\|500}}

			--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:53, 6 February 2014 (PST)

← Older revision		Revision as of 23:10, 6 February 2014
Line 110:		Line 110:

	18/15/67 ? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:59, 3 January 2014 (PST)		18/15/67 ? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:59, 3 January 2014 (PST)

			----
			Data for Feb 6 2014:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|6238\|3281}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|3281\|630}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|3281\|490}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|3281\|2161}}

			19/15/66 Seems to be the distribution. Largest statistic ever so considering this spaded. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 15:10, 6 February 2014 (PST)

← Older revision		Revision as of 21:59, 3 January 2014
Line 100:		Line 100:

	--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:40, 2 January 2014 (PST)		--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:40, 2 January 2014 (PST)


			Data for both Jan 1 and 2 2014:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|3880\|2059}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|2059\|382}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|2059\|310}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|2059\|1367}}

			18/15/67 ? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:59, 3 January 2014 (PST)

← Older revision		Revision as of 04:40, 3 January 2014
Line 78:		Line 78:

	I guess it is safe to assume 20/13/67 for only 3? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:22, 17 December 2013 (PST)		I guess it is safe to assume 20/13/67 for only 3? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:22, 17 December 2013 (PST)

			----

			Data for Jan 1 2014:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|1417\|730}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|730\|127}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|730\|118}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|730\|485}}

			--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:40, 2 January 2014 (PST)

			----

			Data for Jan 2 2014:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|1133\|626}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|626\|111}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|626\|92}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|626\|423}}

			--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 20:40, 2 January 2014 (PST)

← Older revision		Revision as of 21:22, 17 December 2013
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	Here's what I got, after 712 combats, excluding modifier drop messages:		Here's what I got, after 712 combats, excluding modifier drop messages:

	* icicle - 73 -> {{statrate\|372\|73\|+}}		* icicle - 73 -> {{statrate\|372\|73}}
	* bucket - 53 -> {{statrate\|372\|53\|+}}		* bucket - 53 -> {{statrate\|372\|53}}
	* snowball - 118 -> {{statrate\|372\|118\|+}}		* snowball - 118 -> {{statrate\|372\|118}}
	* thundersnow - 128 -> {{statrate\|372\|128\|+}}		* thundersnow - 128 -> {{statrate\|372\|128}}

	Which results in a statistical drop chance of {{statrate\|712\|372\|+}}%, which I think we can assume as 50%.<br>Regarding the distribution when it drops, by my data it seems to be 20%, 15%, 30%, 35%, however since this is the first time the thundersnow drops I guess these numbers might fluctuate a bit, comparing these with the next snow day might be bet before jumping to conclusions. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas\|talk]]) 17:26, 21 December 2012 (PST)		Which results in a statistical drop chance of {{statrate\|712\|372\|+}}%, which I think we can assume as 50%.<br>Regarding the distribution when it drops, by my data it seems to be 20%, 15%, 30%, 35%, however since this is the first time the thundersnow drops I guess these numbers might fluctuate a bit, comparing these with the next snow day might be bet before jumping to conclusions. [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas\|talk]]) 17:26, 21 December 2012 (PST)
Line 62:		Line 62:

	--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 10:18, 8 December 2013 (PST)		--[[User:Hoyifung04\|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04\|talk]]) 10:18, 8 December 2013 (PST)

			My data for this day:

			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|546\|269}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|269\|60}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|269\|35}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|269\|174}}


			*Day total:
			Total drop rate: {{statrate\|1945\|993}}
			* icicle: {{statrate\|993\|203}}
			* bucket: {{statrate\|993\|128}}
			* snowball: {{statrate\|993\|662}}

			I guess it is safe to assume 20/13/67 for only 3? [[User:Patojonas\|Patojonas]] 13:22, 17 December 2013 (PST)