Difference between revisions of "Talk:Porcelain Bay"

From Twilight Heroes Wiki
Jump to: navigation, search
(data on the pearls)
 
(5 intermediate revisions by 2 users not shown)
Line 3: Line 3:
  
 
== Spading data ==
 
== Spading data ==
I'm going to start manually spading this area, since I'm adventuring here anyway trying to meet the kraken.
 
Here's the total data. I have a record of day by day but I wont put it here.
 
  
Total adventures: 1852
+
Brute force spading
Cat 412 (20%)
+
 
Orca 400 (20%)
+
Toal of 2609 adventures
Dog 396 (19%)
+
 
Guppy 427 (21%)
+
{| border=1
Squid 407 (20%)
+
! Encounter !! number !! percentage
 +
|-
 +
| Cat || 536 || 21%
 +
|-
 +
| Orca || 506 || 19%
 +
|-
 +
| Dog || 487 || 19%
 +
|-
 +
| Guppy || 549 || 21%
 +
|-
 +
| Squid || 531 || 20%
 +
|-
 +
| Total || 2609
 +
|}
 +
 
 +
Bottom line: the differences are quite low. I'd go with 20% each.
  
 
Drops:
 
Drops:
fish wiskas 85 (21%)
 
Pressure plate 68 (17%)
 
URL 104 (26%)
 
isinglass 54 (14%)
 
fishnet 103 (24%)
 
squid ink 134 (33%)
 
Pearl 1631 (80%)
 
  
(I removed one day of data since I realized I might have used an unspaded familiar)
+
{| border=1
 +
| fish wiskas || 99 || 18%
 +
|-
 +
| Pressure plate || 88 || 17%
 +
|-
 +
| URL || 133 || 26%
 +
|-
 +
| isinglass || 71 || 15%
 +
|-
 +
| fishnet || 134 || 24%
 +
|-
 +
| squid ink || 173 || 33%
 +
|-
 +
| Pearl || 2094 || 80%
 +
|}
  
Hell, I'm a mathematician, I'm doing this all wrong. Decided to tackle it statistically. I'll put some data here and then I'll sum it up.
+
"smart" spading:
  
Assumption: Pearl is 80%. Check: +18% nodrop. Conclusion: <85%. Don't have more +item (no wolly's index :( ) so can't check more now.
+
Assumption: Pearl is 80%.
 +
 
 +
Check: +22% witnessed non drop. Conclusion: <1/1.22=81.9%.
  
 
Checking metal detector:
 
Checking metal detector:
  
+10%+detector 200 turns all drop
+
+10%+detector 300 turns all drop
 +
 
 +
+8%+detector got no drop: <17%
 +
 
 +
--[[User:Muhandes|Muhandes]]
  
+5%+detector got no drop: <20%
+
I recorded 3242 fights, will place the data on the respective talk pages.<br>Also, since they drop a lot and are a hindrance I only recorded 705 pearl drops from a total of 872 fights, which gives {{statrate|872|705}}.<br> I suppose its ok to leave it at 80%. [[User:Patojonas|Patojonas]] 11:06, 24 June 2012 (PDT)
  
. Conclusion: >10% (with 0.994 certainty)
+
----
  
--[[User:Muhandes|Muhandes]]
+
Second round of spading due to [[watercress]] this time with he spading script, found 1 [[Kraken]] so it was worth the time. Just for records on the pearl of wisdom drop rate:
 +
 
 +
*distempered catfish|pearl of wisdom {{statrate|724|574|+}}
 +
*orca with rocket launcher|pearl of wisdom {{statrate|657|534|+}}
 +
*rabid dogfish|pearl of wisdom {{statrate|742|606|+}}
 +
*ravenous guppy|pearl of wisdom {{statrate|656|521|+}}
 +
*squidopus|pearl of wisdom {{statrate|731|578|+}}
 +
 
 +
Putting them all together we have a {{statrate|3510|2813}} chance for the pearl to drop. [[User:Patojonas|Patojonas]] 07:14, 21 September 2013 (PDT)

Latest revision as of 06:14, 21 September 2013

Don't elementals require Air Shield? Cristiona

Not on my level 4. soleta 08:57, 13 April 2008 (MST)

Spading data

Brute force spading

Toal of 2609 adventures

Encounter number percentage
Cat 536 21%
Orca 506 19%
Dog 487 19%
Guppy 549 21%
Squid 531 20%
Total 2609

Bottom line: the differences are quite low. I'd go with 20% each.

Drops:

fish wiskas 99 18%
Pressure plate 88 17%
URL 133 26%
isinglass 71 15%
fishnet 134 24%
squid ink 173 33%
Pearl 2094 80%

"smart" spading:

Assumption: Pearl is 80%.

Check: +22% witnessed non drop. Conclusion: <1/1.22=81.9%.

Checking metal detector:

+10%+detector 300 turns all drop

+8%+detector got no drop: <17%

--Muhandes

I recorded 3242 fights, will place the data on the respective talk pages.
Also, since they drop a lot and are a hindrance I only recorded 705 pearl drops from a total of 872 fights, which gives (80.8% ± 2.7%).
I suppose its ok to leave it at 80%. Patojonas 11:06, 24 June 2012 (PDT)


Second round of spading due to watercress this time with he spading script, found 1 Kraken so it was worth the time. Just for records on the pearl of wisdom drop rate:

  • distempered catfish|pearl of wisdom 79.3 ± 3
  • orca with rocket launcher|pearl of wisdom 81.3 ± 3
  • rabid dogfish|pearl of wisdom 81.7 ± 2.8
  • ravenous guppy|pearl of wisdom 79.4 ± 3.2
  • squidopus|pearl of wisdom 79.1 ± 3

Putting them all together we have a (80.1% ± 1.3%) chance for the pearl to drop. Patojonas 07:14, 21 September 2013 (PDT)