Difference between revisions of "Talk:Snow day"
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Which results in a statistical drop chance of {{statrate|712|372|+}}%, which I think we can assume as 50%.<br>Regarding the distribution when it drops, by my data it seems to be 20%, 15%, 30%, 35%, however since this is the first time the thundersnow drops I guess these numbers might fluctuate a bit, comparing these with the next snow day might be bet before jumping to conclusions. [[User:Patojonas|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas|talk]]) 17:26, 21 December 2012 (PST) | Which results in a statistical drop chance of {{statrate|712|372|+}}%, which I think we can assume as 50%.<br>Regarding the distribution when it drops, by my data it seems to be 20%, 15%, 30%, 35%, however since this is the first time the thundersnow drops I guess these numbers might fluctuate a bit, comparing these with the next snow day might be bet before jumping to conclusions. [[User:Patojonas|Patojonas]] ([[User talk:Patojonas|talk]]) 17:26, 21 December 2012 (PST) | ||
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| + | Chance of any drop after combat: {{statrate|1962|1015}}<br> | ||
| + | Chance of drop being [[icicle]]: {{statrate|1015|194}}<br> | ||
| + | Chance of drop being [[sleet bucket]]: {{statrate|1015|148}}<br> | ||
| + | Chance of drop being [[snowball]]: {{statrate|1015|357}}<br> | ||
| + | Chance of drop being [[thundersnow]]: {{statrate|1015|316}}<br> | ||
| + | Looks like our numbers for snowball and thundersnow are reversed! (Or, perhaps the drop rate is 33%.) --[[User:Hoyifung04|hoyifung04]] ([[User talk:Hoyifung04|talk]]) 20:21, 21 December 2012 (PST) | ||
Revision as of 20:21, 21 December 2012
Checking if drops are effected by item drop bonuses.
100 turns without bonuses: 13 icicle, 12 sleet, 40 snowball (65 drops).
100 turns with bonuses: 29 icicle, 18 sleet, 45 snowball (89 drops).
Conclusion: most definitely yes. --Muhandes 10:58, 17 April 2009 (UTC)
Frayday Message
Anyone remember if the message showed up on the previous Frayday (that is, the one before December 10, 2011, if there was one)? --hoyifung04 21:14, 9 December 2011 (PST)
- Okay, never mind; should have checked the forums first. The answer was yes. --hoyifung04 21:20, 9 December 2011 (PST)
Drop spadings
Here's what I got, after 712 combats, excluding modifier drop messages:
- icicle - 73 -> 19.6 ± 4.1
- bucket - 53 -> 14.2 ± 3.6
- snowball - 118 -> 31.7 ± 4.8
- thundersnow - 128 -> 34.4 ± 4.9
Which results in a statistical drop chance of 52.2 ± 3.7%, which I think we can assume as 50%.
Regarding the distribution when it drops, by my data it seems to be 20%, 15%, 30%, 35%, however since this is the first time the thundersnow drops I guess these numbers might fluctuate a bit, comparing these with the next snow day might be bet before jumping to conclusions. Patojonas (talk) 17:26, 21 December 2012 (PST)
Chance of any drop after combat: (51.7% ± 2.3%)
Chance of drop being icicle: (19.1% ± 2.5%)
Chance of drop being sleet bucket: (14.6% ± 2.2%)
Chance of drop being snowball: (35.2% ± 3%)
Chance of drop being thundersnow: (31.1% ± 2.9%)
Looks like our numbers for snowball and thundersnow are reversed! (Or, perhaps the drop rate is 33%.) --hoyifung04 (talk) 20:21, 21 December 2012 (PST)
